The Lancet Commissions
www.
thelancet.
com Vol 373 May 16, 2009 1693
Anthony Costello, Mustafa Abbas, Adriana Allen, Sarah Ball, Sarah Bell, Richard Bellamy, Sharon Friel, Nora Groce, Anne Johnson, Maria Kett,
Maria Lee, Caren Levy, Mark Maslin, David...
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The Lancet Commissions
www.
thelancet.
com Vol 373 May 16, 2009 1693
Anthony Costello, Mustafa Abbas, Adriana Allen, Sarah Ball, Sarah Bell, Richard Bellamy, Sharon Friel, Nora Groce, Anne Johnson, Maria Kett,
Maria Lee, Caren Levy, Mark Maslin, David McCoy, Bill McGuire, Hugh Montgomery, David Napier, Christina Pagel, Jinesh Patel, Jose Antonio
Puppim de Oliveira, Nanneke Redclift, Hannah Rees, Daniel Rogger, Joanne Scott, Judith Stephenson, JohnTwigg, JonathanWolff, Craig Patterson*
Executive summary
Climate change is the biggest global health threat of
the 21st century
Effects of climate change on health will affect most
populations in the next decades and put the lives and
wellbeing of billions of people at increased risk.
During
this century, earth’s average surface temperature rises are
likely to exceed the safe threshold of 2°C above
preindustrial average temperature.
Rises will be greater at
higher latitudes, with medium-risk scenarios predicting
2–3°C rises by 2090 and 4–5°C ri
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